Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.047058e-01 4.097898e-01 0.532151 0.682905 0.861381 1.063773 1.308414
2025-12-07 1.737831e-01 2.993953e-01 0.469386 0.705665 1.015046 1.396326 1.891331
2025-12-14 9.521521e-02 2.173153e-01 0.410762 0.711825 1.141613 1.707695 2.483323
2025-12-21 4.753637e-02 1.527825e-01 0.351301 0.696760 1.230301 1.974250 3.039564
2025-12-28 2.439459e-02 1.148670e-01 0.317944 0.708359 1.351967 2.290588 3.680420
2026-01-04 1.111019e-02 8.468291e-02 0.284710 0.709044 1.452059 2.579585 4.297845
2026-01-11 3.716991e-03 5.786759e-02 0.244107 0.684035 1.503350 2.796093 4.820937
2026-01-18 8.890811e-04 3.958598e-02 0.212284 0.665674 1.559347 3.018902 5.359777
2026-01-25 1.362178e-04 2.884170e-02 0.193966 0.669496 1.651772 3.300852 5.995093
2026-02-01 1.459098e-07 1.829075e-02 0.166268 0.643483 1.684012 3.485528 6.489117
2026-02-08 NaN 1.450476e-02 0.161948 0.672504 1.822303 3.849002 7.267493
2026-02-15 NaN 1.000077e-02 0.148514 0.673934 1.905139 4.122576 7.914651
2026-02-22 NaN 8.690426e-03 0.152511 0.725794 2.097451 4.595420 8.897333
2026-03-01 NaN 6.736591e-03 0.149516 0.757067 2.250046 5.007340 9.797795
2026-03-08 NaN 4.577947e-03 0.140341 0.767411 2.359082 5.348180 10.595546
2026-03-15 NaN 2.543789e-03 0.125015 0.753475 2.413566 5.594588 11.248341
2026-03-22 NaN 1.608402e-03 0.118451 0.766733 2.528634 5.952693 12.090723
2026-03-29 NaN 8.618375e-04 0.109354 0.767968 2.615668 6.262393 12.860608
2026-04-05 NaN 2.871350e-04 0.094496 0.741764 2.635555 6.448926 13.431384
2026-04-12 NaN 6.670909e-05 0.082685 0.722450 2.668826 6.660142 14.047057
2026-04-19 NaN 1.334275e-05 0.076838 0.726564 2.759267 6.981339 14.853754
2026-04-26 NaN 1.411845e-09 0.065360 0.699036 2.766926 7.144335 15.396057
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.065544 0.729799 2.926785 7.605231 16.454481